Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.122281 0.144868 0.170133 0.200439 0.235758 0.275569 0.323799
2025-01-19 0.084430 0.112586 0.147635 0.194271 0.254476 0.329337 0.429212
2025-01-26 0.066223 0.096981 0.138629 0.198694 0.282572 0.394929 0.556093
2025-02-02 0.053774 0.085229 0.130931 0.201408 0.306397 0.455828 0.683099
2025-02-09 0.044421 0.075499 0.123540 0.202077 0.325797 0.511295 0.807867
2025-02-16 0.037856 0.068521 0.118629 0.204913 0.347718 0.571839 0.946115
2025-02-23 0.033618 0.064421 0.117337 0.212802 0.377908 0.647722 1.115929
2025-03-02 0.027980 0.056725 0.108597 0.206540 0.383329 0.683751 1.224680
2025-03-09 0.024312 0.051924 0.104062 0.206698 0.399310 0.738416 1.369671
2025-03-16 0.020896 0.046943 0.098331 0.203632 0.408744 0.782242 1.499827
2025-03-23 0.018901 0.044477 0.096993 0.208600 0.433439 0.855467 1.689579
2025-03-30 0.016583 0.040876 0.092790 0.207186 0.445445 0.906223 1.842578
2025-04-06 0.014230 0.036810 0.087096 0.202114 0.449985 0.944191 1.977262
2025-04-13 0.012143 0.032961 0.081266 0.195904 0.451397 0.976260 2.104135
2025-04-20 0.011081 0.031410 0.080345 0.200363 0.475942 1.057230 2.337127
2025-04-27 0.010042 0.029707 0.078786 0.203099 0.496969 1.132970 2.566757
2025-05-04 0.009018 0.027834 0.076507 0.203773 0.513348 1.200403 2.785361
2025-05-11 0.008226 0.026446 0.075212 0.206631 0.535076 1.281510 3.041142
2025-05-18 0.007748 0.025866 0.075913 0.214583 0.569851 1.394933 3.378734
2025-05-25 0.006733 0.023461 0.071351 0.208272 0.568981 1.427307 3.537088
2025-06-01 0.006088 0.022068 0.069340 0.208431 0.584289 1.498621 3.791454
2025-06-08 0.005409 0.020413 0.066308 0.205340 0.590830 1.549702 4.003090
2025-06-15 0.005056 0.019778 0.066165 0.210347 0.619264 1.656466 4.357394